The Shelby American
The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the third race of the 2010 Sprint Cup Season, the Shelby American. Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.
When: Sunday, February 28; 3:16 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 64; wind out of the NNE at 6 mph. There is a zero percent chance of precipitation.
The Track: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a 1.5 mile tri-oval that was reconfigured in 2007. The banking on the corners was been increased from 12 degrees to 20 degrees. Roush Fenway Racing and Hendrick Motorsports have mostly dominated races at the track since it opened in 1998.
Key to Race: BEAT THE BIG BOYS
There have been 11 races run at Las Vegas Motor Speedway since it opened and cars from the Roush-Fenway and Hendrick Motorsports have won nine of them. The ability these teams have to experiment with different aero packages and setups means any of their cars could win the race.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by two lap qualifying runs on Friday, February 26 at 6:40 pm/et. Cars that were in the top 35 in owner's points during the 2009 season are guaranteed a spot in the race.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has won three of the past five races at Las Vegas. He could reach the podium for the second time this season.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch won in Vegas last year and has five straight top 11 finishes at his hometown track. He is a great pick this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has finished in the top six in four of the last five races at Vegas. He should be in the lead pack again.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has been great the past two races at Vegas. He is a great choice.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has notched six top five finishes in 12 career starts at Vegas. He is a great option this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has eight top 10 finishes in 12 career starts at Vegas. He will be one of the top cars in Las Vegas.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards won the 2008 race at Las Vegas. He will have a top 10 car again this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has won two of the last seven races at Vegas. He has been driving well this year and shouldn't have problem cracking the top 10.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has finished outside the top 10 just one time during his career at Vegas. We like him this weekend.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has four top 11 finishes and two 35th or worse finishes at Vegas in his career. We expect he will be pushing to crack the top 10 on Sunday.
11 to 20
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has been a top five finisher at Vegas four times. He will be right around the top 10 this weekend.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has averaged a 14th place finish at Vegas during his career. He should be a top 15 finisher again on Sunday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer finally broke through with a top 15 finish at Vegas last year. He is a solid choice.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano has been awesome so far this season. Now is the time to grab "Sliced Bread" in all fantasy leagues.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has back-to-back top 10 finishes in Sin City. We expect he will have a strong car again.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has been inconsistent in Vegas during his career. This isn't a great weekend to use the blue deuce.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya is off to a slow start this season. Vegas isn't a great track for him, but we expect he won't have an issue cracking the top 20.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has been hit-or-miss at Vegas during his career. He is a bit of a risky pick on Sunday.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been the early surprise of the 2010 season. He is worth using as a third driver in most fantasy leagues.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers has cracked the top 20 just once in four career starts at Las Vegas. This might be a rare weekend we recommend shying away from the No. 83 car.
21 to 30
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has averaged a 19th place finish at Las Vegas during his career. We predict he will finish right around his average.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has been terrible so far this season. His luck is bound to change, but there are far less risky options this weekend.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann cruised to a fourth place finish at Las Vegas last year. He shouldn't have a problem finishing inside the top 25 again.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: The talented rookie has been average so far this year. We would only use him as a fourth driver in most leagues.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. came in 16th last year at Vegas. He won't match that finish this year, but he should crack the top 25.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler's average finish at Vegas during his career is 25th which is about where we think he will finish this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose is having a terrible start to the 2010 season. He will bounce back, but we can't recommend him until he gets some momentum.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed drove a great race last weekend at California. He is a decent sleeper pick.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard is off to a terrific start this season. For those of you in deep leagues he is someone to grab immediately.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger struggled in his first visit to Las Vegas last year. He isn't worth using this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil should finish right around 30th.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has four top 10 finishes at Las Vegas during his career. He could be a sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith was smoking last weekend in Cali. He is an okay option this weekend.
No. 90 Casey Mears: Las Vegas is one of the best tracks for Mears. If there is ever a weekend to use him it is this one.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon has finished inside the top 35 both races this season. Since 35 is the magic number in the standings we see him finishing right around there every weekend.
Field Fillers
No. 26 Boris Said
No. 38 David Gilliland
No. 09 Aric Almirola
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 Kevin Conway
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 36 Mike Bliss
No. 36 Kevin Conway
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 46 Terry Cook
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Kyle Busch
3. Jeff Gordon
4. Greg Bifle
Sleepers:
1. Greg Biffle
2. Joey Logano
Bust of the Week:
Ryan Newman
The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the third race of the 2010 Sprint Cup Season, the Shelby American. Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.
When: Sunday, February 28; 3:16 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 64; wind out of the NNE at 6 mph. There is a zero percent chance of precipitation.
The Track: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a 1.5 mile tri-oval that was reconfigured in 2007. The banking on the corners was been increased from 12 degrees to 20 degrees. Roush Fenway Racing and Hendrick Motorsports have mostly dominated races at the track since it opened in 1998.
Key to Race: BEAT THE BIG BOYS
There have been 11 races run at Las Vegas Motor Speedway since it opened and cars from the Roush-Fenway and Hendrick Motorsports have won nine of them. The ability these teams have to experiment with different aero packages and setups means any of their cars could win the race.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by two lap qualifying runs on Friday, February 26 at 6:40 pm/et. Cars that were in the top 35 in owner's points during the 2009 season are guaranteed a spot in the race.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has won three of the past five races at Las Vegas. He could reach the podium for the second time this season.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch won in Vegas last year and has five straight top 11 finishes at his hometown track. He is a great pick this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has finished in the top six in four of the last five races at Vegas. He should be in the lead pack again.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has been great the past two races at Vegas. He is a great choice.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has notched six top five finishes in 12 career starts at Vegas. He is a great option this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has eight top 10 finishes in 12 career starts at Vegas. He will be one of the top cars in Las Vegas.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards won the 2008 race at Las Vegas. He will have a top 10 car again this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has won two of the last seven races at Vegas. He has been driving well this year and shouldn't have problem cracking the top 10.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has finished outside the top 10 just one time during his career at Vegas. We like him this weekend.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has four top 11 finishes and two 35th or worse finishes at Vegas in his career. We expect he will be pushing to crack the top 10 on Sunday.
11 to 20
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has been a top five finisher at Vegas four times. He will be right around the top 10 this weekend.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has averaged a 14th place finish at Vegas during his career. He should be a top 15 finisher again on Sunday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer finally broke through with a top 15 finish at Vegas last year. He is a solid choice.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano has been awesome so far this season. Now is the time to grab "Sliced Bread" in all fantasy leagues.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has back-to-back top 10 finishes in Sin City. We expect he will have a strong car again.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has been inconsistent in Vegas during his career. This isn't a great weekend to use the blue deuce.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya is off to a slow start this season. Vegas isn't a great track for him, but we expect he won't have an issue cracking the top 20.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has been hit-or-miss at Vegas during his career. He is a bit of a risky pick on Sunday.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been the early surprise of the 2010 season. He is worth using as a third driver in most fantasy leagues.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers has cracked the top 20 just once in four career starts at Las Vegas. This might be a rare weekend we recommend shying away from the No. 83 car.
21 to 30
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has averaged a 19th place finish at Las Vegas during his career. We predict he will finish right around his average.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has been terrible so far this season. His luck is bound to change, but there are far less risky options this weekend.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann cruised to a fourth place finish at Las Vegas last year. He shouldn't have a problem finishing inside the top 25 again.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: The talented rookie has been average so far this year. We would only use him as a fourth driver in most leagues.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. came in 16th last year at Vegas. He won't match that finish this year, but he should crack the top 25.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler's average finish at Vegas during his career is 25th which is about where we think he will finish this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose is having a terrible start to the 2010 season. He will bounce back, but we can't recommend him until he gets some momentum.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed drove a great race last weekend at California. He is a decent sleeper pick.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard is off to a terrific start this season. For those of you in deep leagues he is someone to grab immediately.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger struggled in his first visit to Las Vegas last year. He isn't worth using this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil should finish right around 30th.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has four top 10 finishes at Las Vegas during his career. He could be a sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith was smoking last weekend in Cali. He is an okay option this weekend.
No. 90 Casey Mears: Las Vegas is one of the best tracks for Mears. If there is ever a weekend to use him it is this one.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon has finished inside the top 35 both races this season. Since 35 is the magic number in the standings we see him finishing right around there every weekend.
Field Fillers
No. 26 Boris Said
No. 38 David Gilliland
No. 09 Aric Almirola
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 Kevin Conway
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 36 Mike Bliss
No. 36 Kevin Conway
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 46 Terry Cook
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Kyle Busch
3. Jeff Gordon
4. Greg Bifle
Sleepers:
1. Greg Biffle
2. Joey Logano
Bust of the Week:
Ryan Newman